Conversation 3: The mess-in potamia: what the decline of the Shia crescent means for the broader Middle East

Chaos rarely takes a holiday in the Middle East, and one of the biggest eruptions of the past year has been the downfall of the Syrian regime of Bashar al-Assad. It was fully understandable for the world to celebrate the Syrian uprising last December, given the massacres the Assad regime had endorsed against its own people for more than half a century. 

However, are the Islamist groups that ousted him allies of democracy or the West? Are Syria’s new rulers acquiescing in the massacres of the Alawite, Christian and Druze minorities? Can the US prevent the spread of mayhem into Israel or Iraq that might lead to the revival of a jihadist state or enclave in Syria? To what extent have the Iranian-backed Shia proxies been deal a blow? What are the risks and opportunities for a better Syria and a more stable Middle East?

Director and Founder of the Centre for Independent Studies

Cancer researcher and clinical oncologist, with Genesis Care Newcastle

Director of China and Free Societies program, CIS

Australia’s Ambassador to China from 2007 to 2011, Chairman & CEO of Geoff Raby and Associates Ltd based in Beijing

Liberal Party Member for Berowra

Minister for Population, Cities and Urban Infrastructure

Diplomat, American Board of Pathology

UQ-CSIRO Chair in Personalised Nanodiagnostics, Professorial Research Fellow, School of Chemistry and Molecular Biosciences, University of Queensland

Professor of Economics at Stanford University; Senior Fellow in Economics at the Hoover Institution and Chair of the Working Group on Economic Policy, (US)

Executive Director, CIS

Head of Economic Research, Reserve Bank of Australia

Internationally acclaimed novelist and journalist, (US)

Senior Research Fellow and Director, Culture, Prosperity & Civil Society Program, CIS

Professor of Economics, University of Melbourne

Founder and President, Middle East Forum, publisher Middle East Quarterly Journal, (US)

Pro Vice-Chancellor Arts and Academic Culture, and Professor of History, Australian Catholic University

Professor of Public Policy and Director, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis in the Crawford School of Public Policy at the Australian National University

 

Former Liberal member of the Australian House of Representatives and Cabinet Minister

CEO and Founding Director, China Matters

Senior Research Fellow, Culture, Prosperity & Civil Society Program, CIS

Chinese Canadian human rights advocate

Programme Co-ordinator of the Masters of Urban and Regional Planning, The University of Western Australia

Research Director, CIS

Australian writer and columnist for the News Limited Press

Executive Director, The New Zealand Initiative (NZ)

Founder and CEO, Cognoscenti Group

Director and Founder, Academy of Ideas, London, (UK)

Health Director, Health and BioSecurity, CSIRO

Director, Free Market Foundation, (Hungary)

Sociologist, Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, University of Sydney.
Author of The New Authoritarianism

Senior Research Scholar, Marron Institute of Urban Management, New York University, (US)